The top markets for residential assisted living in North Carolina, ranked by demand versus supply — plus the cities where the homes are.
RAL Market Scout's opportunity score blends 75+ demand and projected senior growth against current bed supply — a saturated market is scored down even when demand is high. Higher means more room for a new small home.
| County | Pop 75+ | Demand | Homes | Market | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnston | 11,851 | 6.8 | 38 | 7.2 | Strong |
| Brunswick | 17,841 | 7.2 | 6 | 7.2 | Strong |
| Robeson | 7,229 | 3.3 | 20 | 7.1 | Strong |
| Nash | 7,170 | 3.7 | 14 | 7.0 | Strong |
| Rowan | 10,447 | 3.7 | 11 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Union | 13,396 | 6.5 | 13 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Pitt | 9,922 | 4.3 | 13 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Orange | 9,249 | 6.1 | 15 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Carteret | 7,310 | 5.4 | 11 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Lincoln | 7,068 | 5.9 | 8 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Catawba | 12,611 | 6.3 | 11 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Mecklenburg | 53,017 | 6.1 | 68 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Cabarrus | 12,738 | 5.9 | 20 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Durham | 18,261 | 6.4 | 42 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Wayne | 7,979 | 2.7 | 14 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Caldwell | 6,857 | 4.3 | 5 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Buncombe | 23,968 | 6.4 | 56 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Forsyth | 26,541 | 5.0 | 34 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Wake | 58,786 | 6.7 | 112 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Beaufort | 4,557 | 3.8 | 4 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Guilford | 35,457 | 5.1 | 33 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Pender | 4,427 | 4.3 | 4 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Franklin | 5,015 | 5.8 | 14 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| New Hanover | 18,056 | 6.1 | 8 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Iredell | 13,004 | 6.4 | 16 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Cleveland | 7,535 | 4.3 | 19 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Rutherford | 5,934 | 4.4 | 15 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Gaston | 15,493 | 5.3 | 11 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Wilson | 5,989 | 3.4 | 8 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Cumberland | 17,369 | 5.3 | 17 | 6.4 | Moderate |
| Henderson | 13,582 | 5.6 | 30 | 6.4 | Moderate |
| Harnett | 7,554 | 6.1 | 13 | 6.4 | Moderate |
| Jackson | 3,546 | 4.9 | 2 | 6.4 | Moderate |
| Randolph | 11,107 | 5.1 | 8 | 6.4 | Moderate |
| Craven | 8,991 | 5.1 | 12 | 6.3 | Moderate |
| Davidson | 13,438 | 5.0 | 8 | 6.3 | Moderate |
| Dare | 3,283 | 5.3 | 1 | 6.3 | Moderate |
| Chatham | 8,952 | 7.4 | 16 | 6.3 | Moderate |
| Rockingham | 7,980 | 3.3 | 27 | 6.3 | Moderate |
| Burke | 8,106 | 5.3 | 17 | 6.2 | Moderate |
| Alamance | 12,584 | 5.1 | 47 | 6.2 | Moderate |
| Cherokee | 3,717 | 5.3 | 3 | 6.2 | Moderate |
| Columbus | 4,361 | 3.1 | 2 | 6.2 | Moderate |
| Duplin | 4,066 | 2.4 | 10 | 6.2 | Moderate |
| Surry | 6,318 | 3.8 | 7 | 6.2 | Moderate |
| Onslow | 8,019 | 4.5 | 5 | 6.1 | Moderate |
| Wilkes | 6,495 | 4.3 | 2 | 6.1 | Moderate |
| Macon | 4,787 | 5.8 | 3 | 6.1 | Moderate |
| Haywood | 6,914 | 5.6 | 8 | 6.0 | Moderate |
| Stanly | 5,177 | 5.9 | 6 | 6.0 | Moderate |
| Granville | 4,228 | 3.3 | 6 | 6.0 | Moderate |
| Sampson | 4,369 | 2.9 | 6 | 6.0 | Moderate |
| Lee | 4,485 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.9 | Moderate |
| Moore | 11,641 | 5.0 | 11 | 5.9 | Moderate |
| McDowell | 3,767 | 3.4 | 10 | 5.8 | Moderate |
| Hoke | 2,078 | 5.1 | 4 | 5.8 | Moderate |
| Transylvania | 4,844 | 4.8 | 4 | 5.8 | Moderate |
| Stokes | 4,452 | 5.3 | 6 | 5.7 | Moderate |
| Avery | 1,716 | 5.0 | 1 | 5.7 | Moderate |
| Madison | 2,036 | 4.7 | 3 | 5.7 | Moderate |
| Lenoir | 4,909 | 3.7 | 9 | 5.7 | Moderate |
| Halifax | 4,243 | 3.1 | 3 | 5.7 | Moderate |
| Edgecombe | 4,007 | 2.9 | 7 | 5.6 | Moderate |
| Caswell | 2,038 | 4.3 | 10 | 5.6 | Moderate |
| Yancey | 2,138 | 4.9 | 1 | 5.5 | Moderate |
| Bertie | 1,752 | 2.8 | 12 | 5.5 | Moderate |
| Watauga | 3,696 | 4.3 | 1 | 5.5 | Moderate |
| Vance | 3,262 | 3.4 | 3 | 5.5 | Moderate |
| Davie | 4,269 | 6.3 | 4 | 5.5 | Moderate |
| Alexander | 3,366 | 3.7 | 4 | 5.4 | Moderate |
| Ashe | 3,060 | 5.4 | 5 | 5.4 | Moderate |
| Person | 3,463 | 4.9 | 8 | 5.4 | Moderate |
| Richmond | 2,996 | 2.1 | 3 | 5.3 | Moderate |
| Bladen | 2,772 | 3.4 | 7 | 5.3 | Moderate |
| Greene | 1,352 | 3.3 | 3 | 5.2 | Moderate |
| Chowan | 1,254 | 3.4 | 3 | 5.2 | Moderate |
| Pasquotank | 3,155 | 6.7 | 5 | 5.1 | Moderate |
| Clay | 1,541 | 5.9 | 1 | 5.1 | Moderate |
| Yadkin | 3,398 | 4.1 | 3 | 5.1 | Moderate |
| Scotland | 2,501 | 3.1 | 1 | 5.1 | Moderate |
| Montgomery | 2,369 | 5.6 | 3 | 5.1 | Moderate |
| Pamlico | 1,599 | 4.0 | 1 | 5.0 | Moderate |
| Hertford | 1,880 | 3.3 | 10 | 4.9 | Moderate |
| Martin | 2,223 | 4.3 | 4 | 4.9 | Moderate |
| Washington | 1,099 | 2.4 | 1 | 4.8 | Moderate |
| Polk | 3,095 | 5.4 | 3 | 4.8 | Moderate |
| Warren | 2,201 | 4.9 | 3 | 4.6 | Moderate |
| Northampton | 2,155 | 3.3 | 4 | 4.6 | Moderate |
| Currituck | 1,913 | 5.5 | 1 | 4.5 | Moderate |
| Anson | 1,840 | 2.9 | 1 | 4.5 | Moderate |
| Mitchell | 1,676 | 4.8 | 1 | 4.4 | Thin |
| Alleghany | 1,361 | 5.6 | 1 | 4.4 | Thin |
| Perquimans | 1,704 | 6.4 | 2 | 4.2 | Thin |
| Swain | 1,193 | 4.6 | 1 | 4.2 | Thin |
| Jones | 874 | 3.2 | 0 | — | — |
| Graham | 910 | 5.2 | 0 | — | — |
| Tyrrell | 532 | 6.7 | 1 | — | — |
| Camden | 750 | 2.7 | 1 | — | — |
| Hyde | 247 | 1.4 | 0 | — | — |
| Gates | 977 | 5.2 | 1 | — | — |
Where the homes actually are. Each linked city has its own page with local supply and market context.
| City | County | Homes | Beds | Avg size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | Wake | 56 | 0 | — |
| Charlotte | Mecklenburg | 53 | 0 | — |
| Durham | Durham | 42 | 0 | — |
| Burlington | Alamance | 36 | 0 | — |
| Asheville | Buncombe | 30 | 0 | — |
| Greensboro | Guilford | 22 | 0 | — |
| Cary | Wake | 20 | 0 | — |
| Reidsville | Rockingham | 20 | 0 | — |
| Fayetteville | Cumberland | 15 | 0 | — |
| Rocky Mount | Nash | 15 | 0 | — |
| Winston-Salem | Forsyth | 15 | 0 | — |
| Chapel Hill | Orange | 14 | 0 | — |
| Leicester | Buncombe | 13 | 0 | — |
| Flat Rock | Henderson | 13 | 0 | — |
| Morganton | Burke | 12 | 0 | — |
| Hendersonville | Henderson | 12 | 0 | — |
| Clayton | Johnston | 11 | 0 | — |
| Smithfield | Johnston | 10 | 0 | — |
| Goldsboro | Wayne | 10 | 0 | — |
| New Bern | Craven | 9 | 0 | — |
RAL Market Scout scores every county and ZIP in North Carolina on demand, supply gaps, and referral capacity — and builds a site-level report for any address you're evaluating.