Demand, supply, and opportunity for small assisted living homes in Fairfax County — from the RAL Market Scout dataset.
Updated July 2026
Fairfax County, VA scores 7.2/10 (Strong) for assisted living opportunity. It has 71,068 residents aged 75+, growing 21.8%, against 87 licensed homes — a strong small-home market on RAL Market Scout's demand-vs-supply scoring.
Opportunity score
7.2/10
Strong
Population 75+
71,068
21.8% growth
Licensed homes
87
current supply
Demand rating
6.8/10
Moderate
Why Fairfax County ranks here
Fairfax County scores 7.2/10 (Strong) because its 71,068 seniors 75+ are growing 21.8% against just 87 licensed homes, with referral capacity of 1.5 per 1,000 seniors from nearby hospitals, hospice, and home-health agencies. A senior median income of $119,967 and median home value of $732,800 signal the local private-pay base.
Fairfax County demand & supply detail
Population 75+
71,068
75+ growth (10-yr)
21.8%
Dementia prevalence (65+)
7.0%
Licensed assisted living homes
87
Referral facilities nearby (hospital · hospice · SNF · home health · FQHC)
105
Referral capacity / 1k seniors
1.5
Senior median income
$119,967
Median home value
$732,800
Opportunity score
7.2 / 10 (Strong)
Licensed assisted living homes in Fairfax County
Facility
City
Beds
Goodwin House Bailey's Crossroads (Fairfax Co)
Falls Church
500
Greenspring Village, Inc.
Springfield
227
Paul Spring Independent, Assisted Living & Memory Care Community
Alexandria
190
The Providence Fairfax
Fairfax
175
The Virginian(Fairfax Co)
Fairfax
170
Tall Oaks Assisted Living
Reston
165
Heatherwood Independent Living, Assisted Living and Memory Care
Burke
150
Sunrise of McLean Village
Mc Lean
125
The Gardens at Fair Oaks
Fairfax
125
Hunters Woods at Trails Edge
Reston
124
Sunrise of McLean
Mclean
120
Harmony at Spring Hill
Lorton
117
Sunrise of Vienna
Vienna
116
Sunrise Assisted Living at Fair Oaks
Fairfax
112
Sunrise at Mount Vernon
Alexandria
112
Frequently asked questions
How many assisted living homes are in Fairfax County?
Fairfax County has 87 licensed assisted living homes, serving 71,068 residents aged 75 and older.
Is Fairfax County a good market for assisted living?
Fairfax County scores 7.2 out of 10 (Strong) on RAL Market Scout, which weighs 75+ demand and projected senior growth against current bed supply. Its 75+ population is growing 21.8%.
How fast is the senior population growing in Fairfax County?
The 75+ population in Fairfax County is projected to change 21.8% over the coming decade, with dementia prevalence around 7.0% of seniors 65+.
Go deeper on Fairfax County
RAL Market Scout maps demand and supply down to the ZIP and builds a full site report for any specific address in Fairfax County.
Sources: Licensed-home count from the Virginia state roster (RAL Market Scout pipeline). 75+ population, growth, income, and home value from U.S. Census ACS. Dementia prevalence from CMS chronic-condition data. Opportunity score is RAL Market Scout's model. Snapshot: 2026-07. Informational only — not legal, financial, or investment advice.