The top markets for residential assisted living in California, ranked by demand versus supply — plus the cities where the homes are.
RAL Market Scout's opportunity score blends 75+ demand and projected senior growth against current bed supply — a saturated market is scored down even when demand is high. Higher means more room for a new small home.
| County | Pop 75+ | Demand | Homes | Market | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humboldt | 9,907 | 4.8 | 13 | 7.6 | Strong |
| Mendocino | 8,724 | 6.6 | 17 | 7.5 | Strong |
| Santa Cruz | 19,191 | 6.1 | 26 | 7.3 | Strong |
| El Dorado | 17,613 | 6.4 | 34 | 7.2 | Strong |
| Lake | 6,531 | 6.1 | 4 | 7.1 | Strong |
| Sonoma | 42,016 | 6.0 | 160 | 7.1 | Strong |
| Butte | 15,379 | 3.8 | 28 | 7.0 | Strong |
| San Bernardino | 104,304 | 5.4 | 278 | 7.0 | Moderate |
| Calaveras | 5,499 | 5.0 | 2 | 7.0 | Moderate |
| Tulare | 22,500 | 4.1 | 48 | 7.0 | Moderate |
| Solano | 30,955 | 6.1 | 157 | 7.0 | Moderate |
| Madera | 8,814 | 3.4 | 6 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Tuolumne | 6,355 | 5.9 | 2 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Nevada | 12,369 | 6.9 | 8 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Kern | 41,306 | 4.9 | 133 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Shasta | 16,135 | 4.8 | 44 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Yolo | 11,987 | 4.6 | 21 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| Siskiyou | 4,809 | 5.9 | 1 | 6.9 | Moderate |
| San Joaquin | 43,329 | 5.3 | 112 | 6.8 | Moderate |
| San Luis Obispo | 25,366 | 6.1 | 98 | 6.8 | Moderate |
| Alameda | 105,041 | 5.8 | 230 | 6.8 | Moderate |
| Merced | 13,460 | 3.4 | 21 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Sacramento | 97,827 | 5.8 | 634 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Contra Costa | 83,559 | 7.0 | 438 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Stanislaus | 30,696 | 4.8 | 102 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Fresno | 52,953 | 5.0 | 264 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Yuba | 4,105 | 4.5 | 4 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| San Diego | 209,754 | 5.0 | 587 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Monterey | 26,778 | 5.4 | 42 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Kings | 6,603 | 2.7 | 6 | 6.7 | Moderate |
| Amador | 4,617 | 5.6 | 6 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Napa | 12,766 | 5.8 | 34 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Riverside | 162,214 | 6.2 | 532 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Ventura | 60,647 | 6.0 | 255 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Marin | 27,577 | 6.8 | 49 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Placer | 37,793 | 7.0 | 231 | 6.6 | Moderate |
| Orange | 219,098 | 6.5 | 1,050 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Imperial | 10,290 | 4.3 | 7 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Tehama | 5,533 | 4.2 | 9 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Santa Barbara | 32,456 | 5.2 | 102 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| Los Angeles | 616,913 | 5.5 | 1,638 | 6.5 | Moderate |
| San Francisco | 64,131 | 5.5 | 51 | 6.4 | Moderate |
| San Mateo | 57,623 | 5.4 | 213 | 6.4 | Moderate |
| Plumas | 2,337 | 6.3 | 0 | 6.3 | Moderate |
| Santa Clara | 123,367 | 5.2 | 248 | 6.2 | Moderate |
| Sutter | 6,970 | 4.6 | 8 | 6.1 | Moderate |
| Trinity | 1,850 | 5.5 | 0 | 6.1 | Moderate |
| San Benito | 3,595 | 4.6 | 3 | 6.0 | Moderate |
| Modoc | 1,080 | 4.9 | 0 | 5.9 | Moderate |
| Del Norte | 2,102 | 4.6 | 1 | 5.7 | Moderate |
| Glenn | 1,997 | 3.2 | 3 | 5.3 | Moderate |
| Mariposa | 2,236 | 5.0 | 0 | 5.3 | Moderate |
| Lassen | 1,903 | 4.3 | 1 | 5.1 | Moderate |
| Inyo | 2,065 | 5.6 | 0 | 4.5 | Moderate |
| Colusa | 1,331 | 3.1 | 0 | 4.3 | Thin |
| Alpine | 77 | 1.1 | 0 | — | — |
| Sierra | 419 | 5.1 | 0 | — | — |
| Mono | 827 | 4.3 | 0 | — | — |
Where the homes actually are. Each linked city has its own page with local supply and market context.
| City | County | Homes | Beds | Avg size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | Sacramento | 206 | 3,722 | 18.1 |
| San Diego | San Diego | 173 | 6,551 | 37.9 |
| Fresno | Fresno | 172 | 4,181 | 24.3 |
| Mission Viejo | Orange | 155 | 1,693 | 10.9 |
| Los Angeles | Los Angeles | 143 | 5,651 | 39.5 |
| San Jose | Santa Clara | 139 | 3,220 | 23.2 |
| Roseville | Sacramento | 130 | 2,141 | 16.5 |
| Bakersfield | Kern | 124 | 2,509 | 20.2 |
| Anaheim | Orange | 97 | 2,241 | 23.1 |
| Elk Grove | Sacramento | 96 | 1,526 | 15.9 |
| Concord | Contra Costa | 93 | 1,198 | 12.9 |
| Santa Rosa | Sonoma | 91 | 2,706 | 29.7 |
| Torrance | Los Angeles | 90 | 1,322 | 14.7 |
| Riverside | Riverside | 87 | 1,949 | 22.4 |
| Escondido | San Diego | 86 | 2,439 | 28.4 |
| Clovis | Fresno | 84 | 902 | 10.7 |
| Carmichael | Sacramento | 80 | 1,863 | 23.3 |
| Citrus Heights | Sacramento | 76 | 731 | 9.6 |
| Thousand Oaks | Ventura | 75 | 2,091 | 27.9 |
| Northridge | Los Angeles | 74 | 1,172 | 15.8 |
RAL Market Scout scores every county and ZIP in California on demand, supply gaps, and referral capacity — and builds a site-level report for any address you're evaluating.